Environmental Factors and Population's Health Correlation: Modelling and Analysis in Russian Federation

This graduate qualification work presents a comprehensive analysis dealing to identification of the main tendencies in interrelations of environmental factors and the population's health of Russia. First chapter is considered theoretical and methodological bases of studying of environmental factors influence on the population's health and also concept of the organization of system of social and hygienic monitoring. Second chapter presents the analysis of dynamics of the health characteristics on Federal districts. Classifying the regions of Russia by the environment and by the morbidity received splitting into 4 clusters in both classifications. The third chapter shows the multidimensional statistical analysis of influence of environmental factors on the population's life expectancy and on the morbidity on regions of Russia for 2014. As a result of the regression is has been received two statistically significant and adequate (in compliance with Jarque-Bera and Breusha-Pagan-Godfrey tests) regression equations.The finishing step of third chapter is modelling of interrelation of environmental factors and population’s health by means of panel data where ten variables of 77 regions of Russia from 2010 to 2014 have been considered, and three panel regression equations (pooled regression, fixed effect model and random effect model) are constructed for the population's life expectancy and for diseases of the respiratory system. The analysis at choice of adequate best model of panel data with the help of tests of Wald, Broysha-Pagan and Haussman is carried out. The received results allow to draw a conclusion that the increase in the share of agriculture and forestry in GDP leads to the growth of the population's life expectancy, and decrease in diseases of the respiratory system. There is an increase in population's life expectancy with the growth of density of highways, because this indicator is considered as the factor of health care provision.