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Business Circles in Developed and Developing Countries

Student: Burov Aleksandr

Supervisor: Irina Albertovna Bakunina

Faculty: Faculty of Economics

Educational Programme: Economics (Bachelor)

Final Grade: 9

Year of Graduation: 2016

The Bachelor‘s Thesis discusses the business cycles in developed and developing courtiers. The term determines the goal of the investigation to research characteristics of business cycle. It is necessary to research how control fluctuations which are main components of business cycles. The object of the investigation is economic fluctuation. The term determines the goal of the investigation to research business cycle and business cycle characteristics. It is necessary to research how control fluctuations which are main components of business cycles. To analyze economic cycles there are a lots of methods. The study direction supposes to use correlation-regression analysis and wavelet-analysis. The first can help to find statistic ties in macroeconomic fluctuation indicators and determine main characteristic of fluctuation for selected courtiers. The second allows to realize analyzing of time rows which are afforded by GPG of randomly selected courtiers from group of courtiers sorting by level of economic growth. Processed time rows probably will be able to determine business cycle in demonic of fluctuation of selected courtiers GDP in short-run and median-run periods. Bachelor‘s Thesis results are presented by sleeted business cycles in GDP counties dynamic ,determined business cycles characteristics and regression model of cross-factors GDP formation Key words: Business cycle, economic cycle, cycle of economic activity, economic indicator fluctuation, wavelet-analysis, cross wavelet-analysis, wavelet coherence, correlation-regression analysis, GDP , GDP growth, developing county, developed country. The graduation project consists of an explanatory note on 155 pages, including 58 figures, 24 tables, the list of 51 references and 3 appendices.

Full text (added May 25, 2016)

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