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Student
Title
Supervisor
Faculty
Educational Programme
Final Grade
Year of Graduation
AleХander Trydolyubov
Factors of the Municipal Heads' Rotation in the Russian Federation under the Municipal Reform, 2003-2016
Political Science
(Bachelor’s programme)
9
2017
Annotation to the paper "FACTORS OF THE MUNICIPAL HEADS’ ROTATION IN THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION UNDER THE MUNICIPAL REFORM, 2003-2016"

Author: Trudolyubov Alexander

Scientific Supervisor: Dr. of Sciences, prof. Turovsky F. Rostislav

The objective of the paper: researching an impact of different economic and electoral factors on survival and recruitment methods of municipal heads under the conditions of the building principal-agent relations at the intergovernmental level.

Methods used:

◦ Regressions:

◦ Logit-model

◦ Cox survival model

Theoretical background of the paper – theory of the principal-agent relations.

Original data set: 156 cities in 79 regions during the period of 2003-2016.

5 groups of independent variables:

◦ Biographical analysis:

◦ Governors

◦ Mayors

◦ Electoral statistics

◦ Cities’ characteristics

◦ Economic performance

Hypothesis:

• Governors’ rotations increase risks of the municipal heads’ rotation

• Model of the city-manager is the governors’ instrument of getting control over municipal level

• Mayors of the financial dependent cities are less likely to be fired

• Electoral competency of mayors decrease risks of rotation

Results of the paper: hypothesis are confirmed

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