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Forecast Models of the Financial Viability of the Small and Medium-sized Businesses in the Volga Federal District

Student: Daria Leonteva

Supervisor: Andrey G. Maksimov

Faculty: Faculty of Economics

Educational Programme: Economics (Bachelor)

Year of Graduation: 2017

The paper presents a study of the prediction companies’ financial viability in the Volga Federal district. The research aims to compare models which predict the exit of the status small and medium-sized enterprises (SME) for Russian companies. The procedure of prediction the bankruptcy is of great importance to identify possible difficulties in the business and try to overcome them. This paper empirically examines the performance of applying various methods such as multiple discriminant analyses and models of binary choice on the key financial indicators of SME. The result of the work is the comparative analyses, including calculation of the predictive power and definition the quality of chosen models and for the existing data through the period of time 2011-2014.

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