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  • Risks of Restraint of Russian Energy Exports with Regard to Global Trends of Competition with New Energy Sources

Risks of Restraint of Russian Energy Exports with Regard to Global Trends of Competition with New Energy Sources

Student: Orlova Liudmila

Supervisor: Alexander V. Daniltsev

Faculty: Faculty of World Economy and International Affairs

Educational Programme: World Economy (Master)

Year of Graduation: 2017

The paper examines competition in international markets between traditional and alternative (new) energy sources. The first Chapter presents the theoretical and methodological basis of the study: the definitions of traditional and new sources of energy, theories of energy security, the theory of the five forces of Michael porter and the methodology of the index of riskiness energy exports REED. The second Chapter describes the international energy market. Competition analysis in the international energy market through the five forces of M. Porter showed that competition is intense. According to empirical analysis, there is a trend of slowdown in world energy consumption. There are two reasons for the observed trend: a stabilization of energy consumption of developed countries, the slowdown in economic growth and world population. In the third Chapter the subject was considered from the point of view of Russian interests. The study of energy security with the help of the concept of security of demand showed low stability in energy prices; declining consumption of Russian energy in the world; preferential tax policies towards new energy sources; the lack of stability of the legal regulation in the world; high competition in the target export markets. But according to the REED index Russian risks are small and about on par with Canada. Proposed possible action to maintain the level of exports and ensure energy security in the transition of the world community to alternative energy sources: development of biofuel production based on available resources; development of technologies for generation of green energy; manufacture of installations for renewable energy sources and others.

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