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Financial Statement Forecast Considering Public-Private Partnership Project

Student: Kondakov Dmitrii

Supervisor: Evgeny Zazdravnykh

Faculty: St.Petersburg School of Economics and Management

Educational Programme: Management (Bachelor)

Year of Graduation: 2017

Indeed, company’s financial statement is one of the essential sources of information. It is valid and relevant for both insiders and outsiders. Although it is quite hard to anticipate, it is a significant aspect of budgeting, investing, creating and implementing strategy. Many recent studies have focused on decision-making process. Public-Private Partnership projects (PPP) has become a favorite topic for analysis. This paper is grounded on the issue of estimation PPP projects and obtaining the understanding how it affects of financial statement. Although considerable research has been devoted to methodology of prediction, rather less research attention has been paid to the impact of projects which companies implement. Meanwhile projects significantly affect a lot to company’s KPIs. However, it is hard to consider influence of such projects even for insiders. Furthermore, there is little data connected with estimating specific types of projects like public-private partnership. PPP projects are one of the most widespread way for developing and maintenance urban infrastructure. Moreover, such projects are implementing permanently and commonly by rather big businesses. Therefore, the problem of forecasting financial statement considering PPP project is actual and interesting to investigate. The aim of this paper is to develop a model and forecast the financial statement considering the public-private partnership project. We found out that even if NPV is positive, it does not necessarily represent the value for organization. This phenomenon occurs under different circumstances. For instance, high costs reduce the cash flow and increase accounts payable, what in turn entails the lower company’s ability to pay its debts. It all boils down to decreasing investment attractiveness. That is why, this study is designed to predict the financial statement and track the changes in KPIs after implementing the project of PPP.

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