Cash Flow Modeling for Non-Financial Company Using Metrics Corporate Metrics

This paper is devoted to the assessment of cash flow risks using the CorporateMetrics method. The relevance of the topic is determined by the need to use risk metrics to assess the risks of cash flows of non-financial companies in the face of economic and political instability in order to maintain the company's financial stability. The aim of the research is to develop a simulation model for assessing the risks of cash flows of non-financial companies using the CorporateMetrics metric for the company Uralkali. The object of the study are non-financial companies, the subject of the study is the system of risk management of cash flows of non-financial companies. The first chapter contains the concepts of forecasting and modeling of cash flows. The second chapter is devoted to the risks of corporate cash flows, the methods of their evaluation and management. The third part contains the practical application of risk metrics, identifies the main risks of Uralkali, simulates the cash flow at risk for the organization using the concept of CorporateMetrics, calculates CFaR, and suggests methods for managing the identified cash flow risks.