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Analysis of Entrepreneurial Intentions in Russia

Student: Abaturov Pavel

Supervisor: Ekaterina Aleksandrova

Faculty: St.Petersburg School of Economics and Management

Educational Programme: Applied Economics and Mathematical Methods (Master)

Year of Graduation: 2018

The work is devoted to the study of entrepreneurial intentions in Russia and the factors influencing the appearance of these intentions. The basis of the theory of planned behavior of Ajzen (1991), according to which the entrepreneurial intentions are influenced by three groups of factors: attitudes toward the behavior, subjective norms and perceived behavioral control. For the analysis, the data of the Global Entrepreneurship Monitoring project for 2010-2014 were taken. Due to the peculiarities of the dependent variable (binary and unbalanced), the usual estimation methods (logit and probit models) do not give correct results, therefore the analysis used the semi-nonparametric estimation (SNP) and the alternative method of logistic regression (complementary log-log) in several specifications for different years, to check the sustainability of the results. The results of the research allow us to conclude that entrepreneurial intentions in Russia are influenced by the age of a person, a personal acquaintance with an entrepreneur, the assessment of their skills as sufficient for starting a business, and also the past experience of entrepreneurship.

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