Optimally Planning a Production Program of a Continuous Technology Enterprise under Uncertainty

Student: Zykova Dina

Educational Programme: Data Science (Master)

Year of Graduation: 2018

Annotation. Optimization problem of refinery production planning under uncertainty is considered in this work. The first objective is to calculate optimal production plan based on experts’ estimations of refinery production capacities. The second objective is to evaluate the expected revenue of the refinery under uncertainty of product prices. The information about oil refinery process, types of refinery production units, production planning problems and methods of production planning optimization was studied for achieving these objectives. Mathematical modelling and linear programming method were used for research. The main results are: mathematical model of refinery operation was build, the problem of identifying production plan feasibility based of experts’ evaluations and its correction was formulated and solved. The problem of revenue evaluation under product prices uncertainty was formulated and solved. Stated problems were solved in MATLAB software.

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