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Analysis and Forecasting of the Financial Stability of Enterprises of Different Industry Sector

Student: Fofina Ekaterina

Supervisor: Tatyana Bogdanova

Faculty: Graduate School of Business

Educational Programme: Business Informatics (Bachelor)

Year of Graduation: 2019

The analysis of the financial activity of an enterprise is necessary not only for internal management to maintain stable operations, but also for many external agents, for example, investors, banks, and tax authorities. Therefore, the problem affixed to the work is relevant. The aim of the study is to develop a model for predicting the financial sustainability of enterprises. Tasks to achieve the goals: • Analysis of methods for assessing the financial condition of enterprises; • Analysis of models for predicting the financial sustainability of enterprises; • Construction of models for predicting the probability of bankruptcy of enterprises of different sectoral affiliations. This research can be useful not only from a scientific point of view, but can also be used in practice by enterprises interested in maintaining a stable position in the market or in preventing potential instability. The novelty of the research lies in the novelty of the information base and in the uniqueness of the model created. The work consists of an introduction, three chapters, conclusion, list of references and three applications. The first chapter consists of three sections, the first deals with methods for assessing the financial condition of enterprises, models for predicting bankruptcy of enterprises, and classification models. The second chapter contains an analysis and forecasting of the financial condition of agricultural enterprises, building a bankruptcy forecasting model, testing the model. The third chapter contains an analysis and forecasting of the financial status of enterprises in the mining industry, building a bankruptcy forecasting model, testing the model.

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