Forecast Revocation of the Bank`s License Based on its Financial Performance

Student: Kholicheva Ilona

Faculty: International College of Economics and Finance

Educational Programme: Double degree programme in Economics of the NRU HSE and the University of London (Bachelor)

Year of Graduation: 2019

This paper is aimed to discuss the problem of bank license revocation in the Russian banking sector. This topic plays an important role in maintaining the stability of the financial system and the economy as a whole. The main hypothesis is to compare the list of significant factors before the crisis 2014-2015 years and after it. The paper provides an analysis of the banking sector and macroeconomic indicators for the last decade linking with the Russian crises history. The article presents an analysis of the banking sector and macroeconomic indicators over the past decade related to the history of Russian crises. Quarterly data was collected for about 900 banks that operated in 2013. The results of the work showed that the list of significant factors remains almost unchanged before and after the 2014-2015 crisis.

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