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Financial Indicators Predictions Using Sentiment Analysis of News Streams

Student: Gareev Artem

Supervisor: Dmitry A. Romanov

Faculty: Graduate School of Business

Educational Programme: Business Informatics (Master)

Year of Graduation: 2019

This paper explores the possibilities of machine learning methods usage for business process improvement. One of the ways to support decision making in business processes is to build predictive mathematical models. The paper describes the developed model for predicting the Bitcoin prices movement based on the Twitter messages sentiment analysis. Analyzed scientific publications on the topic of work and highlighted the effective method of determining the tonality of the text and the predictions of the price movement of financial indicators. The process of building an experimental model for predicting the movement of Bitcoin price is considered, the results of testing the constructed model are given. It is shown that the analysis of the emotional coloring of the news flow allows us to predict the direction of price movement of a financial indicator with an accuracy of at least 72%.

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