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Modelling the Revenue Structure of the Budget System of the Russian Federation

Student: Egor Vasilevskiy

Supervisor: Nikolay Pilnik

Faculty: Faculty of Economic Sciences

Educational Programme: Economics (Bachelor)

Year of Graduation: 2019

The bachelor thesis presents a model of the formation of revenues and expenditures of the budget system of the Russian Federation, describing the impact of macroeconomic factors on budget items and budget items on macroeconomic development indicators. In the process of creating the model, econometric methods and time series analysis methods are used, the official statistics of the Ministry of Economic Development, the Ministry of Finance, and the Federal Treasury are used as data. The constructed model suggests the possibility of conducting a scenario analysis of various combinations of exogenous parameters on indicators of the modeled budget sphere. The work includes the following steps: literature review, discussion and explanation of the methods used and the anticipated results.

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