Study of Marital and Illegitimate Birth Rate in Russia (on the Example of Moscow, Orenburg region and Dagestan)

This work is devoted to the study of Marital and Illegitimate Birth Rate in Russia, on the Example of Moscow, Orenburg region and Dagestan. We have analyzed the birth rates in registered marriages and unregistered marriage in the indicated regions by constructing fertility tables by marital status. Calculations and a comparative analysis of marriage rates taking into account the marital status of women in three Russian regions (Republic of Dagestan, Orenburg Oblast and Moscow) showed that Dagestan, in comparison with Orenburg Oblast and Moscow, is leading not only in terms of higher marital, but also a higher extramarital birth rate. The study substantiated the conclusion that the total fertility rate for women in a registered marriage, taking into account the expected duration of marriage, varied in the three regions between 2002-2003 and 2015-2016. from 2.1 per woman in Moscow (2010) to 3.5 in Dagestan and the Orenburg Region (2002). The proximity of the indicator for Dagestan and the Orenburg region suggests that in the case of a continuous state of marriage from a sufficiently early age, the final birth rate does not differ much for women living in different ethnic and cultural and economic and social conditions. At the same time, significantly lower values of the indicator for Moscow, which fluctuated from 2.1 to 2.8 in the period under review, indicate the possibility of some decrease in the birth rate in the future for Russia as a whole, since Moscow not only occupies undoubtedly the leading position in social economic development, but also acts as a source of ideal samples of behavioral practices, including family and reproductive. It also analyzed the expansion and deepening of ideas about the regional variation of marital and extramarital births versus the intensity of marital and extramarital birth rates. This analysis was carried out in the ratio of birth outside a registered marriage with the number of women who declared at the time of the census that they were not in a registered marriage, and marriage births with the number of women who declared their status in a registered marriage. Such a comparison was made possible by the formulation of detailed questions about the marital status in the latest censuses (2002 and 2010) and microcaps (1994 and 2015) of the population.