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Factors Affecting the Model of Contention During the Transition of Authoritarian Regime

Student: Evgeniya Grets

Supervisor: Irina Busygina

Faculty: Saint-Petersburg School of Social Sciences and Area Studies

Educational Programme: Political Science and World Politics (Bachelor)

Year of Graduation: 2020

This work explores the influence of various economic and political factors on the model of contention during the change of authoritarian regime. For a long time, the topic of various confrontations (namely civil wars, protests, popular uprisings) was left to the studies of the impact of various types of struggles on the country's economic growth and on the prospects of democratization. However, unlike previous works, this research follows a recent trend to study what happens directly during the change of authoritarian regime. The introduction will explain the basic concepts, research question and relevance of this study. Next will be a review of the literature on the subject and object of the study. In the second chapter, I will talk about the theoretical framework of this work, describe the method and basic research metrics. In conclusion, I will describe what results I obtained at the end of the study and analyze them, and also outline further possible ways to study the topic of the influence of structural factors on the regime change model.

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