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Developing a Generalizable Model for Predicting Building Energy Usage

Student: Kozlova Olesya

Supervisor: Armen Beklaryan

Faculty: Graduate School of Business

Educational Programme: Business Informatics (Master)

Year of Graduation: 2020

Nowdays, there are various methods for improving the energy efficiency of buildings, including the implementation of modern HVAC systems. However, evaluating measures aimed at improving energy efficiency can be a difficult task, since it is impossible to accurately measure how much energy a building would use without implementing any kind of energy-saving technology. Thus, an accurate quantitative assessment of mentioned effect has become possible because of advanced machine learning methods that are used for long-term energy consumption forecasting of buildings. Most of the research on related topics demonstrate non-representativity of the proposed models due to their narrow focus on a specific construction. This motivates the need of generalized models that can be applied to a wide range of building types, usage patterns, and consumption patterns. This paper presents a solution based on the analysis of physical regularities, which has a relatively high accuracy without reference to specific buildings.

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