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Estimation of the Effect of Anti-Alcohol Policy

Student: Semen Nenaidenko

Supervisor: Alexander Skorobogatov

Faculty: St.Petersburg School of Economics and Management

Educational Programme: Economics (Bachelor)

Year of Graduation: 2021

According to previous research, the levels of alcohol consumption in Russia are still higher than in most European countries. In 2005, the Russian government launched a series of anti-alcohol moves with the main purpose to reduce alcohol-related mortality of ordinary people. The main goal of this research is to analyze whether the anti-alcohol policy of the Russian government was effective and whether it led to the reduction of alcohol mortality. Unusual method is chosen to check aforementioned policies results. The idea of this method is to estimate the relation between different mortality rates and cross-multiplication of mean pre-policy alcohol consumption with the year. The mean consumption is calculated for 2001 – 2004 time period. This model is implemented on the RosStat dataset containing regional-level observations such as alcohol mortality from 2001 to 2012. The results show that there is no reduction in alcohol mortality and other mortality rates, therefore policy was ineffective in that sense. These findings confirm that this kind of policy should be revised in future in order to properly affect mortality and decrease its’ levels, therefore it can be used in future not only in Russia but in other countries too.

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