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Impact of News on the Russian Stock Market

Student: Kuranov Vitaly

Supervisor:

Faculty: International College of Economics and Finance

Educational Programme: Double degree programme in Economics of the NRU HSE and the University of London (Bachelor)

Year of Graduation: 2021

This study analyzed the impact of positive and negative news on the returns and volatility of MOEX and industry indices in two different periods: before COVID-19 and during COVID-19. 36 regressions were constructed using GARCH (1,1) and EGARCH (1,1). This work is important because it contributes to a fairly new topic about the influence of COVID-19 on the stock market. It was proposed to check several hypotheses such as: how stock returns and volatility reacted to positive and negative news in both periods; which type of news had the most impact on indices in terms of return and volatility; how indices' reactions to the news were changed after the start of the COVID-19 pandemic. The results obtained may be of interest for further research. For example, it was found that negative shocks reduced their impact on stock volatility during COVID-19. Other meaningful conclusions will be revealed in this paper as well.

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