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Quarantine Economics: Epidemiological and Economic Impacts of Lockdown

Student: Vorchik Andrey

Supervisor: Roman Zakharenko

Faculty: International College of Economics and Finance

Educational Programme: Double degree programme in Economics of the NRU HSE and the University of London (Bachelor)

Year of Graduation: 2021

The paper presents a model of a city stricken by an epidemic. We count for-purpose and by-chance meetings happening to its citizens and derive formal relations of economic and epidemiological states of the city during quarantine. A theoretical factorization of disease reproduction number allows us to classify possible protective measures and evaluate their relative effectiveness in mitigating the epidemic. In the final part of the paper we find an optimal lockdown policy rule for a particular type of public preferences and study effects of such policy.

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