Tremors: Scientists Develop Method for Real-Time Tracking of Hazardous Underground Vibrations

Researchers from HSE MIEM and IPKON RAS have developed a new mathematical monitoring model that can identify the source of hazardous underground vibrations in real time. The technology could help reduce the risk of damage to buildings, roads, and other infrastructure located near quarries and mining sites. The paper has been published in Russian Mining Industry.
Underground vibrations occur in a variety of situations, including blasting operations and the movement of heavy mining equipment. These vibrations can travel hundreds of meters through the ground and, over time, damage buildings, roads, and other engineering structures. Low-frequency vibrations are particularly hazardous because they propagate much farther than higher-frequency waves and can resonate with buildings, causing cracks and structural damage even when the vibration intensity is relatively low.
Furthermore, several vibration sources may affect a building simultaneously. In addition to a nearby quarry or mine, vibrations can originate from local sources such as road and rail traffic, construction activities, or industrial machinery operating in the area. The researchers note that background noise and the presence of multiple vibration sources significantly complicate data interpretation. As a result, a key challenge for monitoring systems is to determine whether a detected vibration originates from a mining operation or from another source.
To identify such threats before cracks and structural deformations appear, engineers from the HSE Tikhonov Moscow Institute of Electronics and Mathematics and the Institute of Comprehensive Exploitation of Mineral Resources of the Russian Academy of Sciences (IPKON RAS) have developed a theoretical model for a new monitoring system based on a low-aperture seismic array. Today, mining companies typically rely on either sensor networks or individual monitoring stations to track ground vibrations. However, sensor networks are costly to deploy, while single stations cannot accurately identify the source of vibrations. As a result, both approaches have limitations when high-precision monitoring is required.
The newly developed monitoring system does not involve large amounts of equipment or complex calibration. It consists of a compact array of sensors placed at short distances from one another. The sensors simultaneously detect ground vibrations, while algorithms analyse the signals and determine the direction of the excitation source. As a result, the system can distinguish between an explosion in a quarry and vibrations caused by heavy machinery or local noise sources near residential buildings.
To test the technology, the researchers simulated seismic wave propagation and used an array of ten sensors. The results showed that, at distances greater than 10 metres, the error in determining signal parameters does not exceed 7%, while at distances over 50 metres it decreases to 4%. The system also maintains high accuracy even under conditions of strong background noise.
According to the scientists, the main goal of this development is not merely to register vibrations but to prevent their consequences. By receiving advance information about potentially dangerous fluctuations, specialists will be able to quickly adjust equipment operating modes, modify blasting operations, or install protective barriers before any damage occurs.
Sergey Nefedov
'Today, in many cases, steps are taken only after cracks or structural deformations have already appeared in buildings. We propose a different approach: first identify the source of the hazardous impact, assess the risk, and then take action. Our system makes it possible to obtain such information quickly and with high accuracy, even in situations where multiple vibration sources are present,' says Sergey Nefedov, co-author of the paper, Professor at HSE MIEM and Head of the Laboratory for Control and Monitoring at IPKON RAS.
Due to its compact size, the array can be installed directly near residential buildings, roads, or industrial facilities. This significantly reduces the costs of equipment installation, communication infrastructure, and maintenance. In addition, the technology does not require complex data-processing methods that are commonly used in classical seismology.
The developers believe that in the future, such systems could become part of intelligent environmental safety systems. Information from sensors would be automatically fed into digital control platforms capable of recommending adjustments to equipment operating modes, modifying blasting schedules, or installing protective structures to reduce the propagation of vibrations.
Maxim Ikrennikov
'The next step is the integration of monitoring systems into the management platforms of industrial facilities. In this case, vibration data will be used not only for observation but also for real-time decision-making. This approach will make mining safer for people, the environment, and urban infrastructure,' says study co-author Maxim Ikrennikov, a doctoral student at the HSE MIEM School of Electronic Engineering.
According to the scientists, the new technology will have applications beyond the mining industry. It can also be used at large construction sites, near highways, in tunnels, and at other facilities where monitoring underground vibrations is important for preventing potential damage in a timely manner.
See also:
Scientists Propose Method for More Efficient Resource Use in Machine Learning
An international group of researchers, including mathematicians from the AI and Digital Science Institute at the HSE Faculty of Computer Science, has provided a theoretical justification for a simple and computationally efficient method of estimating uncertainty in Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD). The paper has been published on the scientific preprint server arXiv.org and presented at AISTATS 2026.
Team Success: Aligning Means with Objectives
In corporations, sports, and academia, people often face challenges they cannot handle alone. In such cases, selecting the right team is crucial. Tatiana Mayskaya, Associate Professor at the HSE Faculty of Economic Sciences and the International College of Economics and Finance, together with colleagues from foreign universities, examined team characteristics and found that less diverse teams are better suited to objectives where a high average performance is important, whereas more diverse teams are preferable when avoiding failure is critical. The paper has been published in Economic Theory.
Economists Propose More Effective Approach to Reducing Smoking
Economists at HSE University have examined how smokers respond to changes in cigarette prices. When tobacco prices increase, cigarette consumption does not always decline. In fact, spending on tobacco may even rise: according to the researchers, a 1% decrease in cigarette affordability leads to a 0.28% increase in per capita tobacco expenditure. The findings suggest that to reduce smoking rates, tobacco prices must rise faster than household incomes. The study has been published in Voprosy Statistiki.
Biologists Discover Unique Properties of MiR-93-5p MicroRNA in Prostate Cancer
Researchers at the International Laboratory of Microphysiological Systems of the HSE Faculty of Biology and Biotechnology investigated how different isoforms of the same microRNA influence gene function in prostate adenocarcinoma. The study found that in some cases, microRNAs can reinforce each other’s effects by targeting and suppressing the same genes. This finding offers a fresh perspective on the molecular mechanisms underlying tumour development and on the search for disease biomarkers. The results have been published in PeerJ.
HSE Researchers Provide the World’s First Legal Definition of a Digital Ecosystem
Digital ecosystems have evolved from a technological innovation into a fundamental institution of the modern economy over the past few years. According to HSE University’s latest estimates, they account for 8.5% of Russia’s GDP. Previously, no jurisdiction had a statutory definition of what constitutes a digital ecosystem. HSE University researchers have addressed this gap by proposing the first legal concept of a digital ecosystem. Their article, ‘The Digital Ecosystem as a Novel Economic Phenomenon and Legal Concept,’ has been published in the BRICS Law Journal.
HSE Economists Use Search Queries to Forecast Birth Rates
Researchers from the HSE Faculty of Economic Sciences have shown that the accuracy of birth rate forecasts for Russia can be improved by almost 50% by incorporating the dynamics of online search queries related to pregnancy and childbirth into forecasting models. In the best-performing models, the forecasting error fell from 4.6% to 3.2%. The findings have been published in Populations and Economics.
When Looking at Their Own Faces, Men Forget Everything
In an experiment involving 15 healthy men, scientists at HSE University investigated how different phases of the cardiac cycle influence the excitability of the motor cortex when participants viewed either their own photograph or the faces of strangers. The researchers found that when participants looked at their own image, the brain’s response to signals from the heart was weaker, meaning that the influence of cardiac activity on the motor cortex decreased. This finding came contrary to expectations, as self-focused attention was thought to enhance the brain's sensitivity to internal bodily signals. The study has been published in Frontiers in Signal Processing.
HSE Researchers Discover Who Eats Out in Russia—And Why
Around one-third of Russians (31.3%) rarely eat out or buy ready-made meals. The core group of active consumers—those who eat out or purchase prepared food almost every day or several times a week—accounts for only about 9% of the population. These are the findings of a study conducted by the HSE Institute for Social Policy. According to the researchers eating out is no longer a marker of high social status in Russia.
Scientists Model How Interactions Between Societies Can Trigger Chaotic Behaviour
Scientists at HSE MIEM have proposed a mathematical model explaining how interactions between societies can influence their stability. Based on the classical theory of evolutionary games, the study reveals an unexpected effect: even a weak informational influence of one society on another can cause one society to remain stable while the other exhibits chaotic behaviour among its individual members. The study has been published in the International Journal of Bifurcation and Chaos.
Ancient Craniiform Brachiopod: A Newly Discovered Species with a Unique Shell Shape and Lifestyle
Scientists from HSE University, MSU, and Tallinn University of Technology have studied a fossil species of ancient brachiopods that lived in a warm sea in what is now northern Estonia more than 445 million years ago. These ancient brachiopods developed a cup-shaped shell with a protective 'cap' that shielded them from overgrowth by other marine organisms. The study has been published in Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology.


