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Cemal Eren Arbatli

  • Cemal Eren Arbatli has been at HSE University since 2012.

Education and Degrees

  • 2012

    PhD in Economics
    Brown University
    Thesis Title: Essays on Political Instability: External Security Threats, Coups and Civil Conflict

  • 2007

    Brown University

  • 2007

    Master's in Economics
    Brown University

  • 2006

    Master's in Economics
    Bilkent University

  • 2004

    Bachelor's in Economics
    Sabanci University

Other Affiliations

Research Affiliate, HiCN Households in Conflict Network, June 2017 - present

Faculty Fellow, Association for Analytical Learning about Islam and Muslim Societies (AALIMS), May 2018 - present

Courses (2022/2023)

Courses (2021/2022)

Courses (2020/2021)

Courses (2019/2020)

Courses (2018/2019)


  • Three-year (2018-2020) Joint Research Grant for the project “Information Acquisition, Diffusion and Disclosure in Markets” funded by the Russian Science Foundation (RSF) and the Austrian Science Fund (FWF)
  • Centre for Advanced Studies Individual Research Grant, 2013

Academic Interests

Economic Growth and Development, Political Economics, Economic History, Cultural Economics



Article Shchukin V., Arbatli C. E. Clientelism and development: Vote-buying meets patronage // Journal of Theoretical Politics. 2022. Vol. 34. No. 1. P. 3-34. doi


Article Arbatli C. E., Gomtsyan D. Sectarian Aid, Sanctions and Subnational Development // European Economic Review. 2021. Vol. 139. Article 103891. doi



Article Arbatli C. E., Gomtsyan D. Voting retrospectively: Critical junctures and party identification // European Economic Review. 2019. Vol. 119. P. 356-390. doi


Chapter Arbatli E., Arbatli C. E. The international determinants of military coup behavior, in: The Oxford Encyclopedia of Empirical International Relations Theory. Oxford University Press, 2018.



Preprint Aköz K. K., Arbatli C. E. Manipulated Voters in Competitive Election Campaigns / NRU Higher School of Economics. Series EC "Economics". 2013. No. WP BRP 31/EC/2013.

Work Under Review

  • Manipulation through Biased Product Reviews (with Kemal Kıvanç Aköz and Levent Çelik). Forthcoming, Journal of Industrial Economics. Link to working paper.
  • “Ethnic Capital and Sub-national Development: Armenian and Greek Legacy in Post-expulsion Turkey" (with Gunes Gokmen). Revise and Resubmit, Journal of Economic Growth. Link to working paper

Work in progress

  • “Historical Religious Diversity, Cultural Tolerance and Secular Values”
  •  “Religious Diversity, Market Access and Sub-national Development: Lessons from the Ottoman Empire’’
  • “Mosques and Churches: The Cultural and Economic Legacy of Inter-group Contact”
  • “Random Encounters in the City: When is Public Space an Opportunity for Social Integration?"
  • “How to Raise a Pious Generation: Local Government Control and the Rise of Religious Associations in Turkey"
  • “When a political ally goes rogue: The electoral costs of choosing dubious partners" (with Ekim Arbatlı)

Conference Participation, Presentations

Conference and Seminar Presentations:

  • HSE ICSID & NES CSDSI Research Seminar (November 13, 2018)
  • University of Groningen (October 2, 2018)
  • Sabanci University (April 25, 2018)
  • AALIMS-Princeton Conference on the Political Economy of the Muslim World (April 20-21, 2018)
  • Gaidar Forum (Moscow, January 16-18, 2018)
  • NBER Summer Institute - Income Distribution and Macroeconomic Dynamics (Cambridge, MA, 2017)
  • The Lisbon Meetings in Game Theory and Applications (Lisbon, 2017)
  • Trinity College Dublin (Dublin, 2017)
  • Freie Universität (Berlin, 2017)
  • Workshop on Culture, Diversity and Economic Development (University of Groningen, Netherlands, 2017)
  • Migration and Conflict Workshop (UCLouvain, Louvain-la-Neuve, 2017)
  • HSE/NES research seminar on political economy (Moscow, 2016)
  • Asian Meeting of the Econometric Society (Kyoto, 2016), EACES Workshop (St. Petersburg, 2016)
  • ASSA Annual Meeting, 2016 (San Francisco, CA, January 3-5, 2016), “The Nature of Conflict”
  • Kadir Has University, Economics Seminar (Istanbul, Turkey. October 5, 2015), “Minorities and Long-run Development: Persistence of Armenian and Greek Influence in Turkey”.
  • Sabancı University, Economics Seminar (Istanbul, Turkey. October 2, 2015), “Minorities and Long-run Development: Persistence of Armenian and Greek Influence in Turkey”. 
  • European Economic Association Annual Meeting (Mannheim, Germany. August, 2015), “Minorities and Long-run Development: Persistence of Armenian and Greek Influence in Turkey”.
  • ICEF Brown Bag Seminar (Moscow, Russia, April 7-10, 2015), “Minorities and Long-run Development: Persistence of Armenian and Greek Influence in Turkey”.
  • HSE/NES research seminar on political economy (Moscow, Russia, March 10, 2015), "Armenian and Greek Legacy in Modern Turkish Development".
  • Macro Lunch, Department of Economics, Brown University (Providence, RI, March 18, 2015), "Armenian and Greek Legacy in Modern Turkish Development".
  • Association for the Study of Religion, Economics and Culture (ASREC) Annual Conference (Boston, MA, March 20-21, 2015), "Armenian and Greek Legacy in Modern Turkish Development".
  • XVI HSE April International Academic Conference on Economic and Social Development (Moscow, Russia, April 7-10, 2015), "Armenian and Greek Legacy in Modern Turkish Development".
  • Workshop on Political Economy at the Ural Federal University (Ekaterinburg, Russia. September 26-27, 2014), "The Nature of Civil Conflict".
  • 14th Jan Tinbergen European Peace Science Conference (Den Haag, Netherlands.June 24, 2014), "Explaining the Relationship between External Threats and Coups: Rally Around the Flag or Credible Commitments?".
  • Southern Methodist University (Dallas, TX. April 21, 2014), "Manipulated Voters in Competitive Election Campaigns".
  • Southwestern Economics Association (San Antonio, TX. April 17, 2014), "Manipulated Voters in Competitive Election Campaigns". 
  • Southwestern Economics Association (San Antonio, TX. April 17, 2014), "Random Encounters in the City: When is Public Space an Opportunity for Social Integration?"
  • HSE/NES research seminar on political economy (Moscow, April 8, 2014), "Random Encounters in the City: When is Public Space an Opportunity for Social Integration?".
  • European Public Choice Society (EPCS) Meeting, (Cambridge, UK, April 4-6, 2014), "Manipulated Voters in Competitive Election Campaigns".
  • Keynote Speaker, Workshop on Biology and Behavior in Political Economy, Laboratory for Institutional Analysis, HSE (Moscow, March 14, 2014), "The Nature of Civil Conflict".
  • International Conference on Culture, Diversity and Development (Moscow, October 18-19, 2013), "Intrapopulation Diversity, Civil Conflict and Potential Channels".
  • HSE Department of Theoretical Economics Seminar (Moscow, May 21, 2013), "Competitive Election Campaigns and Manipulated Voters".
  • HSE/NES research seminar on political economy (Moscow, March 5, 2013), "The Nature of Conflict: Diversity and Civil Wars".
  • Annual Meeting of American Economic Association (Chicago, IL, January 6, 2013), "Genetic Diversity and Civil Conflict" (presented by my co-author Quamrul Ashraf).
  • EconCon 2011 Conference at New York University (New York City, August 18-19, 2011), "Information Manipulation in Election Campaigns".
  • Macro Seminar, Department of Economics, Brown University (November 16, 2011), "The Quest for Political Survival: Can External Threats Save the Day?".
  • The Annual Meeting of American Political Science Association (APSA) (September, 2010), "Military Coups and Security Threat Environment: Taking Competing Hypotheses to Data".
  • The Midwest Political Science Association Annual National Conference (Chicago, April, 2010), "Military Coups and Security Threat Environment: Taking Competing Hypotheses to Data".
  • The Annual Democracy and Democratization Conference (University of Connecticut, March 2009 and February 2010).

Employment history

Assistant Professor of Economics, Higher School of Economics, Moscow (September 2012 - present)

Academic Supervision

for a degree of Candidate of Science
  • Zaruhi Hakobyan, Ph.D. student at HSE, “Information Manipulation and Protests: A Game-theoretic Approach"
  • Vladimir Shukin, M.A. student at HSE, “Optimal Vote Buying Strategies in a Model of Clientelist Politics”

Timetable for today

Full timetable

Research that Will Help Fight Corruption

Emmanuel Adu Sarfo, 23, from Ghana, is a second-year master's student on the HSE Economics and Economic Policy programme. He is carrying out research on the ancient roots of corruption that influence its prevalence in different countries. Emmanuel talked to the HSE News Service about his studies and research at HSE University in Moscow.

‘This Achievement Certainly Motivates Me’

The results of the 2022 student vote for Best Teachers of HSE University have been announced. This year, there are more winners among international faculty than ever before. The HSE News Service talked to 2022 winners Cemal Eren Arbatli and Arnab Roy Chowdhury about their attitude to students’ assessment of teachers, their experience of positive and negative feedback, and the challenges of teaching online.

Paper of Eren Arbatli in Journal of Economic Growth

‘Professionals Who Have Studied Outside Their Home Countries Should Shape New Narratives’

Studies in lockdown, the fun of Russian classes, and the hardships of learning microeconomics: the HSE News Service talked to three international students of economics who are getting their master’s degrees from HSE University this year.

Paper of Eren Arbatli in European Economic Review

‘Enrolling at HSE University Is One of the Best Decisions I Have Made’

Nargiz Mammadova, first-year Master's student of the Economics: Research Programme, chose HSE University based on the strength of its reputation and its placement in university rankings. In her interview, Nargiz talks about her passion for economics, her impressions of the programme, her career aspirations, and more.

The Impact of Commodity Prices on Endorsement of Leadership Change in Resource-rich Countries

Economics undergraduate program junior student Kira Silvestrovich's research paper won 3rd prize in Student research papers competition 2020. Here we publish paper synopsis

Economics: Research Program is a Chance and I am Extremely Glad to Take Advantage of it

Nargiz Mammadova, first-year student of the Master's program Economics: Research Program on her way to the Economics: Research Program, her first semester experience, and her takeaways from the HSE University studies

‘My Research Interests Took Shape When I Was a Master’s Student’

Zaruhi Hakobyan earned her Bachelor’s degree in Yerevan, her Master’s from HSE University, and her PhD from both HSE University and the University of Luxembourg. She spoke to the HSE News Service about the differences in academic approaches at various universities.

The HSE Look October Issue

The fourth issue of 2020 presents three interviews on the digital university concept and introduces new tenure faculty.

HSE University Ranks 115th in RePEc World Ranking  

The RePEc rating (Research Papers in Economics) is based on publication activity data in the field of economics and related disciplines. In recent years, HSE University has consistently ranked first among Russian universities, and it continues to steadily climb the global ranking, overtaking well-known, centuries-old foreign universities. In the latest European ranking, HSE University took 46th place. In the world ranking, the university has ranked 115th (an increase of 4 places in the space of one month).

Dual PhD defence

Virtual PhD Thesis Defense By Zaruhi Hakobyan at HSE University Moscow and Univeristy of Luxembourg

Paper of Eren Arbatli in Econometrica

Seminar «Technology Adoption in Agrarian Societies: the Effect of Volga Germans in Imperial Russia»

A joint research seminar of the Laboratory for Labour Market Studies and the Centre for Labour Market Studies was held at HSE on October 8, 2019.

Paper of Eren Arbatli in European Economic Review

FES International Research Seminar

Starting from the 2016-2017 academic year Faculty of Economic Sciences has launched a new international seminar series. The series host many established scholars as well as young promising economists from various respectable universities worldwide.

‘If You Are Dedicated and Hardworking, You Will Get a Top Education’

Coming from Lebanon but with personal ties to Russia, Hisham Haydar will be starting the second year of the Master’s in Economics: Research Programme this September. The strength of HSE University’s standing in international rankings led Hisham to choose HSE in Moscow for his advanced training in economics. In the hope that other international students will be motivated to apply to HSE, he recently shared his perspective on everything from the application process to the workload to life in Moscow.

Cemal Eren Arbatlı, assistant professor at the Department of Theoretical Economics, has won the Armen Alchian award!

His joint paper with Güneş Gökmen (NES) entitled "Minorities and Long-Run Development: Persistence of Armenian and Greek Influence in Turkey" has won the best general interest paper award at the Armenian Economic Association annual conference.

A Busy and Productive Year

Dr. Eren Arbatli, Assistant Professor at the Department of Theoretical Economics, joined the HSE after finishing a PhD programme at Brown University (USA) in 2013. Eren's spouse and co-author, Dr. Ekim Arbatli, is Assistant Professor at HSE's Faculty of Politics. The HSE LooK spoke to Dr. Arbatli about his current and planned research.

New Research Trends in ‘Biology and Behaviour in a Political Economy’

On March 14, 2014, the HSE is running a workshop ‘Biology and Behaviour in a Political Economy’. John Nye, Academic Supervisor at the International Laboratory for Institutional Analysis of Economic Reforms, HSE which is organising the workshop, spoke to the HSE English-language News Portal about working at the HSE in this research area.