Methodology of the research is based on longitudinal approach whichconcerns the collection of data over time. Prospective panel cohort study is implemented in order to measure school and university students’ plans and their realization over time, their pathways in education and careers.
Empirical base of the research. Several panels of schools and university students have been launched; their participants are surveyed at intervals from one to three years. The study’s main panel is the national panel based on the TIMSS 2011 8th grade sample (42 regions, 210 schools, env. 5000 students). Panel participants were interviewed in 9th grade, two and three years later. They also participated in PISA testing in 2012 which makes the panel unique in terms of international competence test data combined with longitudinal follow-up. There are also two pilot regions (Yaroslavskaya oblast and the Republic of Tatarstan) where 9-graders and senior university students were surveyed since 2009 as part of cohort panels. Two student panels were also initiated in Moscow (2000 respondents) and Saint Petersburg (4000 respondents). Additionally, in 2012 a “Tagged Atom” program was implemented in order to boost the interpretive base of the research with in-depth interviews with 1%-2% of the panel participants.
The results may be divided into methodological and analytical. The methodological results of 2014 include further development and implementation of the educational-occupational cohort panel study in Russia. The third waves were conducted for the National panel with the highest level of response rate among the all waves conducted (87% of TIMSS participants) and in Yaroslavl’ and Tatarstan regions. Also, in Yaroslavl’s region a series of follow-up in-depth interviews were done with those participants who took part in “Tagged Atom” program 2 years ago. Thus qualitative part of the survey has acquired a longitudinal dimension too.
Analytic results are based on data gathered in 2014 and previous years of the study both by quantitative and qualitative methods.
Using several waves of national panel data, typical trajectories after the 9th grade are described and influence of social background on trajectories formation is shown. Resilience in trajectories is also studied as well as foundations of career choice. Basing on the panels of university students data in Yaroslavl’ and Tatarstan regions, the association of attitudes toward job and further satisfaction with career choice is studied. Panel of Yaroslavl’s school students is used to evaluate municipal context influence on trajectories. Qualitative interviews analysis has shown the role of growing up and body perception phenomena in trajectories formation.
Implementation of research results: The project results belong both to the field of basic research and aim to inform educational policy. The developed techniques for conduction of a cohort study in Russia may be used as a base for other surveys of this type both in national and regional context.