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Monitoring of Global Technology Trends for Key Sectors of the Russian Economy

Priority areas of development: economics
2015
The project has been carried out as part of the HSE Program of Fundamental Studies.

The main goal of this research project is to develop an integrated system for monitoring of global technology trends having potential significant impact on global social-economic development in the long term. The project benefits from a combination of quantitative and qualitative methods, which ranges from Bibliometrics, Scientometrics and Technology Mining to other well-known methods of Foresight including Horizon Scanning, scenarios, the Delphi method and expert panels. Large academic, scientific and media databases are analysed by using the data mining techniques. The input from the scanning phase is elaborated further with expert consultations through surveys and workshops.

The purpose of the study in 2015 is to update results of technology trends monitoring for the priority areas of science and technology obtained in 2014 and to identify trends for selected key sectors of the Russian economy.

Information base of the research includes analytical reports of international organizations, materials of foreign foresight centers, forecasts by large corporations and private companies, data from consulting agencies, Russian foresights for R&D in various industries, databases of scientific publications, patents and dissertations and other sources.

The research obtained the following results:

  • the results of technological trends monitoring in 2014 were updated for priority areas of science and technology (information and communication technology, biotechnology, medicine and health service, new materials and nanotechnology, rational use of natural resources, transport and space systems, energy efficiency and saving).
  • Technological trends for particular sectors of the economy were identified (aviation, agriculture, light industry);
  • Series of regular newsletters (trendletters) about the global and Russian tendencies of technological development were prepared and published for each considered area of science and technology; analytical report “Global Technology Trends” is prepared for publishing.

The results of the research may be of interest to federal government agencies, companies and academic community. The results of the research can be used in the development of programs for priority areas of science, technology and engineering in the Russian Federation, for sectoral long-term foresight studies, and strategies for science and technology development.

 

Publications:


Haegeman K., Spiesberger M., Veselitskaya N., Sokolov A., Weiss G. FTA supporting effective priority setting in multi-lateral research programme cooperation: the case of EU-Russia S&T cooperation // Technological Forecasting and Social Change. 2015. Vol. 101. P. 200-215. doi
Dranev Yu., Chulok A. Assessing interactions of technologies and markets for technology road mapping // Technological Forecasting and Social Change. 2015. Vol. 101. P. 320-327. doi
Ponomareva Y., Sokolova A. The Identification Of Weak Signals And Wild Cards In Foresight Methodology: Stages And Methods / NRU Higher School of Economics. Series WP BRP "Science, Technology and Innovation". 2015. No. 46.
Saygitov R., Chulok A. Cardiovascular diseases in the context of Russia's long-term socio-economic development priorities // Vestnik Rossiiskoi Akademii Meditsinskikh Nauk. 2015. Vol. 70. No. 3. P. 286-299.
Filippov S., Mikova N., Sokolova A. Green energy prospects: Trends and challenges // International Journal of Social Ecology and Sustainable Development. 2015. Vol. 6. No. 3. P. 1-20. doi