On June 1, 2016, Prof. William Bianco, Professor of Political Science at Indiana University, Bloomington read a lecture at the School of Political Science on ‘The 2016 American Elections: What (If Anything) Can Political Science Tell Us?’
More than six months before Election Day, the 2016 election cycle has already been a humbling experience for American political scientists. A year ago, it was hard to find an election scholar who thought Hillary Clinton would have trouble winning the Democratic presidential nomination – and no one seriously thought of Donald Trump as a potential Republican candidate. How were we so far off base? Do our theories tell us anything about what happens next – from who is likely to win the general election to the likelihood of a full-scale realignment of parties and voters?
Here is a video of the lecture, in which Prof. William Bianco addresses all these questions and more.