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Магистерская программа «Экономика: исследовательская программа»

Theory and Practice of Macroeconomic Policy

2019/2020
Учебный год
ENG
Обучение ведется на английском языке
5
Кредиты
Статус:
Курс по выбору
Когда читается:
2-й курс, 1, 2 модуль

Преподаватель

Программа дисциплины

Аннотация

Course “Theory and practice of macroeconomic policy” consists of three parts. The first part is devoted to the discussion of the main problems of macroeconomic policy. The second part of the course deals with the peculiarities of macroeconomic policy in monetary unions. The last part of the course studies the macroeconomic policy regimes. The main emphasis will be made on the current tendencies in macroeconomic policy throughout the world, especially on communication policies in different countries. The Russian macroeconomic policy will be widely discussed.
Цель освоения дисциплины

Цель освоения дисциплины

  • to present the main current macroeconomic problems
  • to describe the role of government and central banks in the economy
Результаты освоения дисциплины

Результаты освоения дисциплины

  • to understand the role of fiscal and monetary policy
  • be able to analyze financial and real data, apply the macroeconomic tools for the analysis of both monetary and financial sphere
  • be able to acquire the necessary skills to discuss different macroeconomic problems, the fiscal and monetary authorities’ actions and decisions, the consequences of macroeconomic policy changes for the economy
Содержание учебной дисциплины

Содержание учебной дисциплины

  • Introduction. The main objectives of macroeconomic policy
    Inflation as policy target. Social costs and benefits of inflation. Sacrifice ratio. Optimal inflation level. Target output level. Optimal and natural output. Exchange rate policy. Exchange rate and real variables. Exchange rate policy as an anti-inflation measure.
  • Part 1. The main problems of macroeconomic policy. Lecture 2. Inflation
    Monetary factors of inflation. Unpleasant monetary arithmetic. Fiscal theory of price level. Dynamic inconsistency of low-inflation policy. The role of reputation and delegation of policy. Policy rules. The role of central bank’s independence. Inflation persistence. Hyperinflations and stabilization programs.
  • Part 1. Lecture 3. Zero-lower bound
    ZLB and monetary policy efficiency. The origins of liquidity traps. The role of exchange rate policy. Unconventional monetary policy: targets and instruments. Fiscal policy at ZLB. The role of strategic interaction between a central bank and a government.
  • Part 1. Lecture 4. Global financial crises
    The global crisis of 2008. Policy mistakes and uncertainty. Exchange rate crises. Fisrt-, second- and third-generation models of currency crises. Monetary policy during exchange rate crises. European debt crisis. European macroeconomic policy.
  • Part 1. Lecture 5. International migration
    Migration of low- and high skilled labor force. International migration and the distribution of resources, incomes and welfare. Intra- and inter-generation conflicts. Fiscal effects of international migration.
  • Part 1. Lecture 6. Financial globalization
    Trade and financial globalization. Financial integration as a tax problem. Tax competition. International capital flows. A stylized model of financial integration.
  • Part 1. Lecture 7. Government debt
    Government debt as a fiscal instrument. The role of a central bank’s independence. The structure of government debt. Tax smoothing as a factor of debt accumulation. The model of government debt accumulation. The role of uncertainty. Debt crises. The model of sovereign debt default with self-fulfilling prophecies (Cole, Kehoe). Stabilization policy.
  • Part 2. The economics of monetary unions. Lecture 8. Between international openness and monetary sovereignty
    A simple model of a monetary union. Theory of optimum currency areas. Currency unions in prospect and retrospect.
  • Part 2. Lecture 9. Monetary policy in currency unions
    The role of idiosyncratic shocks in monetary unions. Policy effects. The optimal monetary policy in a monetary union.
  • Part 2. Lecture 10. Fiscal policies in currency unions
    Public deficits, transfers and public debts in currency unions. Federal fiscal transfer rules in monetary unions. Imbalances and fiscal policy in a monetary union.
  • Part 2. Lecture 11. Fiscal federalism or intergovernmental cooperation?
    Regional fiscal policy spillovers in a monetary union. Cooperation and commitment. Symbiosis of monetary and fiscal policies in a monetary union. Federal fiscal transfers in monetary unions. Fiscal federalism versus fiscal cooperation.
  • Part 2. Lecture 12. Thoughts of a fiscal union
    Fiscal union desirability. Fiscal union in Europe: pros and cons. ComPact and Maastricht comemorandum.
  • Part 3. The evolution and the current state of macroeconomic policy. Lecture 13. Monetary policy regimes
    Discretion versus commitment policy. Taylor rule and its evolution. Advantages and disadvantages of policy rules. Exchange rate regimes. Monetary base and interest rate as policy intermediate targets. Inflation targeting: introduction.
  • Part 3. Lecture 14. Inflation targeting
    Strict and flexible inflation targeting. The role of expectations. Inflation targeting in advanced economies. Forward guidance as an instrument of inflation targeting. Inflation targeting in developing countries. The optimal design of inflation targeting. The role of communication policy.
  • Part 3. Lecture 15. Communication policy of central banks
    The role of public and private information for agents’ actions. Strategic complementarity. The impact of a central bank’s verbal interventions on forecasts’ precision and market volatility. Central bank transparency: pros and cons. The model of Morris and Shin (2002). Verbal interventions and financial crises. Information policy of central banks in practice: the Fed, the ECB, the Bank of Russia, etc.
  • Part 3. Lecture 16. Macroprudential tools and unconventional monetary policy
    Peculiarities of the global financial crisis of 2008. Shadow banking sector. Macroprudential policy. Basel 3. Unconventional monetary policy. Quantitative and qualitative easing. Efficiency of unconventional policies. Developed countries’ experience: Japan, the USA, the UK, the eurozone. Normalization of monetary policy.
Элементы контроля

Элементы контроля

  • Average mark for quizzes (неблокирующий)
    Short quizzes are based on topics covered in the class. No possibility is given to complete the missed quizzes.
  • Attendance (неблокирующий)
    Attendance is not evaluated but is highly recommended to understand better the concepts learned during the classes. Previous experience has shown that the average mark is usually higher for the students who actively participate in sessions. Lectures will be interactive with discussions between the lecturer and students. Questions and comments are welcome during the lectures.
  • Home assignment (неблокирующий)
    As a result of this case study, a student has to prepare an analytical outlook, which covers: • the problems present in an analyzed economy; • fiscal and monetary policies taken to face with these problems; • analysis of policy efficiency or policy mistakes. Max length of the document is 10 pages (appendices and covers not included). The documents sent after the dead-line are not evaluated.
  • Essay (неблокирующий)
    The essay is to be prepared after the second part of the course. The essay is the critical literature overview at a chosen topic. Max length of the document is 5 pages (appendices and covers not included)
  • Exam (неблокирующий)
    The written documentation for the excuse is to be presented to the Students’ Office in accordance with the HSE’s rules.
Промежуточная аттестация

Промежуточная аттестация

  • Промежуточная аттестация (2 модуль)
    0.1 * Average mark for quizzes + 0.25 * Essay + 0.4 * Exam + 0.25 * Home assignment
Список литературы

Список литературы

Рекомендуемая основная литература

  • Advanced Macroeconomics, 3rd ed., 678 p., Romer, D., 2006
  • Monetary theory and policy, Walsh C. E., 2003

Рекомендуемая дополнительная литература

  • Macroeconomic theory : a dynamic general equilibrium approach, Wickens M., 2008
  • Monetary economics in developing countries, Ghatak S., Sanchez-Fung J. R., 2007