Predictability of Market Interest Rate and Inflation

Student: Koroleva Valentina

Supervisor: Andrei Sirchenko

Educational Programme: Economics (Bachelor)

Final Grade: 7

Year of Graduation: 2016

The notion of predictability is highly crucial for the reason that most economists share a common view that it directly brings fruitful results for any economy. The core idea of this paper is to estimate how predictability depends on the disclosure of voting information concerning the interest rate. This factor is scrutinized as one of the elements of system transparency. In order to achieve this goal panel data analytic methods are employed. The results obtained make a substantial contribution to the general investigation of codependence of institutional factors and predictability, or even economic performance.

Full text (added May 12, 2016)

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