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Statistical Analysis of the Dynamics of the Main Macroeconomic Indicators of Russia in Real Terms Since 1993

Student: Filimonova Anastasia

Supervisor: Alexey Ponomarenko

Faculty: Faculty of Economic Sciences

Educational Programme: Economics and Statistics (Bachelor)

Year of Graduation: 2019

Subject The research presents an econometric analysis of the dynamics of macroeconomic indicators of Russia – real GDP, inflation, unemployment and investment in different industries. Objective The main aim of this study is to make an effective model for each of macroeconomic factors and to specify indicators that can affect these factors. Data and methods The study involves correlation and analysis of time series macroeconomic data from 1993 to 2018. Results anticipated During the under review period, it is high likely to observe a positive dynamic of the real GDP because of the development of national economy and key sectors in particular. As for inflation, it can probably increase under the new laws and policies. At first sign it is hard to predict investment because of controversial factors – technology, external political factor and demand of people. Structure of the research The study will consist of 5 parts in main body: literature review, theoretical aspect of research, primary data processing, correlational analysis and econometric analysis.

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