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Effect Of The Economic Structure Of The Region On Gubernatorial Turnover In Russia, 2000-2020

Student: Elizaveta Rodionova

Supervisor: Ivan Grigoriev

Faculty: Saint-Petersburg School of Social Sciences and Area Studies

Educational Programme: Political Science and World Politics (Bachelor)

Year of Graduation: 2021

The socio-economic performance and political efficiency of the Russian governor are recognized as the dominant factors that determine the length of the regional head’s term of office. The aim of this study is to place the structural factor of the economic concentration of regions in line with the above dimensions and to discover the extent to which different region’s industrial compositions affect governor’s turnover. The economic structures identified for Russian regions and the gubernatorial tenure between 2000 and 2020 were used for the survival analysis. As a result, the probability of the head of the region being dismissed is lower in the regions with a dominant company compared to neglected ones. The revealing of such correlation frames an additional basis for reinforcing the relevance of the influence of regional elites on politics.

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