• A
  • A
  • A
  • ABC
  • ABC
  • ABC
  • А
  • А
  • А
  • А
  • А
Regular version of the site

Changes in Persistence of the Trends of Climatic Time Series

Student: Nikolay Larionov

Supervisor: Sasha Shapoval

Faculty: Faculty of Computer Science

Educational Programme: Applied Mathematics and Information Science (Bachelor)

Year of Graduation: 2021

Weather persistence is the term used to describe sequences of several days with matching weather characteristics. Persistent weather patterns can lead to different hazardous events such as droughts, heatwaves, and floods. There are several studies describing changes in weather persistence across northern Europe and connecting them to fluctuations in Atlantic meridional overturning circulation and arctic warming. This study investigates the data provided by the Royal Dutch Meteorological Institute to find out and describe changes in the persistence of sunshine duration and provide a model simulating the relationship between sunshine persistence and the number of sunny days during the year. Analysis of this data shows a global structural break in 1980 which corresponds to changes in the sea surface temperature presented by different studies, while the model shows a decrease in sunshine persistence in the past 20 years.

Student Theses at HSE must be completed in accordance with the University Rules and regulations specified by each educational programme.

Summaries of all theses must be published and made freely available on the HSE website.

The full text of a thesis can be published in open access on the HSE website only if the authoring student (copyright holder) agrees, or, if the thesis was written by a team of students, if all the co-authors (copyright holders) agree. After a thesis is published on the HSE website, it obtains the status of an online publication.

Student theses are objects of copyright and their use is subject to limitations in accordance with the Russian Federation’s law on intellectual property.

In the event that a thesis is quoted or otherwise used, reference to the author’s name and the source of quotation is required.

Search all student theses