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The Role of External Actor Support in Civil Wars with Multiple Combatants: An Agent Based Modelling Approach

Student: Korobov Dmitrii

Supervisor: Mikhail Mironyuk

Faculty: Faculty of Social Sciences

Educational Programme: Applied Politics (Master)

Year of Graduation: 2020

The purpose of this paper was to study the result of the intervention of external actors in the course of the civil war with a large number of participants using agent-based modeling. Within the framework of this work, a model of civil war was constructed and various possible external interventions were simulated. Several hypotheses were tested using the model, some of which were partially validated and some rejected. In addition, the testing of the model helped to confirm the research results of other authors as well as to draw additional conclusions, which were not expected at the beginning.

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