Dmitry Jdanov
- Chief Research Fellow:International Laboratory for Population and Health
- Dmitry Jdanov has been at HSE University since 2017.
Education and Degrees
- 1999
Candidate of Sciences* (PhD)
Ulyanovsk State University - 1995
Degree
Lomonosov Moscow State University
According to the International Standard Classification of Education (ISCED) 2011, Candidate of Sciences belongs to ISCED level 8 - "doctoral or equivalent", together with PhD, DPhil, D.Lit, D.Sc, LL.D, Doctorate or similar. Candidate of Sciences allows its holders to reach the level of the Associate Professor.
Continuing education / Professional retraining / Internships / Study abroad experience
Advances in Mortality Forecasting - online course, International Max Planck Research School for Population, Health and Data Science (2022)
Features of the organization of the educational process at the Higher School of Economics: rules and principles, regulatory and methodological issues, the use of information and communication technologies, HSE University (2019)
Mathematical Modelling of Aging and Mortality, International Max Planck Research School for Demography (2000-2001)
Population Forecasting, International Max Planck Research School for Demography (2000)
Formal Demography, International Max Planck Research School for Demography (2000)
Courses (2022/2023)
- Research Seminar "Population and Development" (Master’s programme; Faculty of Social Sciences; 2 year, 1-4 module)Eng
Research Seminar "Theory and Methodology of Population Studies" (Master’s programme; Faculty of Social Sciences; field of study "38.04.01. Экономика", field of study "39.04.01. Социология", field of study "39.04.01. Социология"; 2 year, 1-4 module)Rus
- Past Courses
Courses (2021/2022)
- Research Seminar "Population and Development" (Master’s programme; Faculty of Social Sciences; 2 year, 1-4 module)Eng
- Research Seminar "Theory and Methodology of Population Studies" (Master’s programme; Faculty of Social Sciences; 2 year, 1-4 module)Rus
Courses (2020/2021)
- Research Seminar "Population and Development" (Master’s programme; Faculty of Social Sciences; 2 year, 1-4 module)Eng
- Research Seminar "Theory and Methodology of Population Studies" (Master’s programme; Faculty of Social Sciences; 2 year, 1-4 module)Rus
Courses (2019/2020)
- Research Seminar "Population and Development" (Master’s programme; Faculty of Social Sciences; 2 year, 1-4 module)Eng
- Research Seminar "Theory and Methodology of Population Studies" (Master’s programme; Faculty of Social Sciences; 2 year, 1-4 module)Rus
20223
- Preprint Sobotka T., Jasilioniene A., Zeman K., Winkler-Dworak M., Brzozowska Z., Galarza A. A., Nemeth L., Jdanov D. From bust to boom? Birth and fertility responses to the COVID-19 pandemic / SocArXiv. Series SocArXiv "SocArXiv". 2022. doi
- Article Nepomuceno M. R., Klimkin I., Jdanov D., Alustriza-Galarza A., Shkolnikov V. Sensitivity Analysis of Excess Mortality due to the COVID-19 Pandemic // Population and Development Review. 2022. Vol. 48. No. 2. P. 279-302. doi
- Article Shkolnikov V., Klimkin I., McKee M., Jdanov D., Alustiza-Galarza A., Nemeth L., Timonin S., Nepomuceno M., Andreev E. M., Leon D. What should be the baseline when calculating excess mortality? New approaches suggest that we have underestimated the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and previous winter peaks // SSM - Population Health. 2022. Vol. 18. Article 101118. doi
202111
- Article Németh L., Jdanov D., Shkolnikov V. An open-sourced, web-based application to analyze weekly excess mortality based on the Short-term Mortality Fluctuations data series // Plos One. 2021. Vol. 16. No. 2. P. 1-10. doi
- Preprint Sobotka T., Jasilioniene A., Galarza A. A., Zeman K., Német L., Jdanov D. Baby bust in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic? First results from the new STFF data series / SocArXiv. Series " ". 2021. doi
- Preprint Klimkin I., Shkolnikov V. M., Jdanov D. A. Calculation of week-specific age-standardized death rates from STMF data on mortality by broad age intervals / Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research. Series WP "MPIDR Working Paper". 2021. No. WP-2021-004. doi
- Article Islam N., Jdanov D., Shkolnikov V., Khunti K., Kawachi I., White M., Lewington S., Lacey B. Effects of covid-19 pandemic on life expectancy and premature mortality in 2020: time series analysis in 37 countries // The BMJ. 2021. Vol. 375. Article 066768. doi
- Article Islam N., Shkolnikov V., Rolando J A., Klimkin I., Kawachi I., Irizarry R. A., Alicandro G., Khunti K., Yates T., Jdanov D., White M., Lewington S., Lacey B. Excess deaths associated with covid-19 pandemic in 2020: age and sex disaggregated time series analysis in 29 high income countries // The BMJ. 2021. Vol. 373. Article n1137. doi
- Chapter Jasilionis D., Jdanov D. Health and Survival in the Elderly, in: Handbook of Global Health (Living Edition). Cham : Springer, [б.г.]. doi P. 1-20. doi
- Chapter Jdanov D., Jasilionis D., Shkolnikov V., Barbieri M. Human Mortality Database, in: Encyclopedia of Gerontology and Population Aging. Cham: Springer, 2021. doi doi
- Article Shkolnikova M. A., Ildarova R. A., Jdanov D., Shalnova S. A., Shkolnikov V. Prevalence, correlates, and mortality impacts of ventricular arrhythmia among older men and women: a population-based cohort study in Moscow // BMC Cardiovascular Disorders. 2021. Vol. 21. P. 1-12. doi
- Article Danilova I., Rau R., Barbieri M., Grigoriev P., Dmitri A. Jdanov, Mesle F., Vallin J., Vladimir M. Shkolnikov. Subnational Consistency in Cause-of-Death Data: The Cases of Russia, Germany, the United States, and France // Population. 2021. Vol. 76. No. 4. P. 645-674. doi
- Chapter Shkolnikov V., Jdanov D. The International Database on Longevity: Data Resource Profile, in: Exceptional Lifespans, Series: Demographic Research Monographs. Springer, 2021. doi P. 13-25. doi
- Article Jdanov D., Galarza A. A., Shkolnikov V., Jasilionis D., Németh L., Leon D., Boe C., Barbieri M. The short-term mortality fluctuation data series, monitoring mortality shocks across time and space // Scientific data. 2021. Vol. 8. No. 1. Article 235. doi
20202
- Article Shkolnikova M. A., Jdanov D., Ildarova R., Shcherbakova N., Polyakova E., Mikhaylov E., Shalnova S., Shkolnikov V. Atrial fibrillation among Russian men and women aged 55 years and older: prevalence, mortality, and associations with biomarkers in a population-based study // Journal of Geriatric Cardiology. 2020. Vol. 17. No. 2. P. 74-84. doi
- Article Shkolnikov V., Churilova E., Jdanov D., Shalnova S., Nilssen O., Kudryavtsev A., Cook S., Malyutina S., McKee M., Leon D. A. Time trends in smoking in Russia in the light of recent tobacco control measures: synthesis of evidence from multiple sources // BMC Public Health. 2020. Vol. 20. No. 378. P. 1-11. doi
20192
- Article Jasilionis D., Jdanov D. Commentary: Important lessons from the unfolding health crisis in Venezuela // International Journal of Epidemiology. 2019. Vol. 48. No. 5. P. 1601-1603. doi
- Article Leon D. A., Jdanov D., Shkolnikov V. Trends in life expectancy and age-specific mortality in England and Wales, 1970–2016, in comparison with a set of 22 high-income countries: an analysis of vital statistics data // The Lancet Public Health. 2019. Vol. 4. No. 11. P. 575-582. doi
20183
- Article Klüsener S., Grigoriev P., Scholz R., Jdanov D. Adjusting inter-censal population estimates for Germany 1987-2011: Approaches and impact on demographic indicators // Comparative Population Studies. 2018. Vol. 43. P. 31-64. doi
- Preprint Grigoriev P., Anatoli I. M., Vasily P. G., Jdanov D., Shkolnikov V. New methods for estimating detailed fertility schedules from abridged data / Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research. Series WP "MPIDR Working Paper ". 2018. No. WP 2018-001.
- Article Shkolnikov V., Churilova E., Avdeeva M., Malyutina S., Kudryavtsev A., Jdanov D., Cook S., Leon D. Smoking in Russia: recent trends and socio-demographic features; synthesis of evidence from multiple studies // European Journal of Public Health. 2018. Vol. 28. No. Suppl_4. P. 298-298. doi
20171
20164
- Article Jasilioniene A., Sobotka T., Jdanov D., Zeman K., Kostova D., Andreev E. M., Grigoriev P., Shkolnikov V. Data resource profile: The Human Fertility Database // International Journal of Epidemiology. 2016. No. 1-7 doi
- Article Timonin S., Shkolnikov V., Jasilionis D., Grigoriev P., Jdanov D., Leon D. Disparities in length of life across developed countries: measuring and decomposing changes over time within and between country groups // Population Health Metrics. 2016. Vol. 14. No. 29. P. 1-19. doi
- Article Danilova I., Shkolnikov V., Jdanov D., Meslé F., Vallin J. Identifying potential differences in cause-of-death coding practices across Russian regions // Population Health Metrics. 2016. Vol. 14. No. 8 doi
- Article Shkolnikov V., Jdanov D., Timonin S. R programs for decomposing changes in life expectancy variance within and between country groups // MPIDR Technical Report. 2016. No. 002. P. 1-11.
20152
- Article Barbieri M., Wilmoth J., Shkolnikov V., Glei D., Jasilionis D., Jdanov D., Boe C., Riffe T., Grigoriev P., Winant C. Data resource profile: the Human Mortality Database (HMD) // International Journal of Epidemiology. 2015. Vol. 44. No. 5. P. 1549-1556.
- Article Андреев Е. М., Жданов Д. А., Ясилионис Д. Доверительное оценивание демографических коэффициентов на примере коэффициентов смертности // Демографическое обозрение. 2015. № 1. С. 24-55.
20144
- Article Jasilionis D., Shkolnikov V., Andreev E. M., Jdanov D., Vågerö D., Meslé F., Vallin J. Do Vanguard Populations Pavethe Way towards Higher Life Expectancy for Other Population Groups? // Population-E. 2014. Vol. 69. No. 4. P. 531-556.
- Article Lagona F., Jdanov D., Shkolnikova M. Latent time-varying factors in longitudinal analysis: a linear mixed hidden Markov model for heart rates // Statistics in Medicine. 2014. Vol. 33. No. 23. P. 4116-4134. doi
- Article Jdanov D., Deev A., Jasilionis D., Shalnova S., Shkolnikova M., Shkolnikov V. Recalibration of the SCORE risk chart for the Russian population // European Journal of Epidemiology. 2014. Vol. 29. No. 9. P. 621-628. doi
- Article Школьников В. М., Жданов Д. А., Андреев Е. М., Вопель Дж. В. Быстрый рост рекордной продолжительности жизни реальных поколений. // Успехи геронтологии. 2014. Т. 27. № 2. С. 229-235.
20132
- Article Glei D., Goldman N., Shkolnikov V., Jdanov D., Shkolnikova M., Vaupel J., Weinstein M. Perceived Stress and Biological Risk: Is the Link stronger in Russians than in Taiwanese and Americans? // Stress: the International Journal on Biology of Stress. 2013. Vol. 16. No. 4. P. 411-420. doi
- Article Glei D., Goldman N., Shkolnikov V., Jdanov D., Shalnova S., Shkolnikova M., Weinstein M. To what extent do biomarkers account for the large social disparities in heath in Moscow? // Social Science and Medicine. 2013. Vol. 77. P. 164-172. doi
20124
- Article Zarulli V., Jasilionis D., Jdanov D. Changes in educational differentials in old-age mortality in Finland and Sweden between 1971-1975 and 1996-2000 // Demographic Research. 2012. Vol. 26. No. 19. P. 489-510. doi
- Article Jasilionis D., Stankuniene V., Ambrozaitiene D., Jdanov D., Shkolnikov V. Ethnic mortality differentials in Lithuania: contradictory evidence from census-linked and unlinked estimates // Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health. 2012. Vol. 66. No. 6 doi
- Article Shkolnikov V., Andreev E. M., Jdanov D., Jasilionis D., Kravdal Ø., Vågerö D., Valkonen T. Increasing absolute mortality disparities by education in Finland, Norway and Sweden, 1971–2000 // Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health. 2012. Vol. 66. No. 4. P. 372-378.
- Article Metelskaya V. A., Shkolnikova M., Shalnova S. A., Andreev E. M., Deev A., Jdanov D., Shkolnikov V., Vaupel J. W. Prevalence, components, and correlates of metabolic syndrome (MetS) among elderly Muscovites // Archives of Gerontology and Geriatrics. 2012. Vol. 55. No. 2. P. 231-237.
20112
- Article Andreev E. M., Jdanov D., Shkolnikov V., Leon D. Long-term trends in the longevity of scientific elites: evidence from the British and the Russian academies of science. // Population Studies: A Journal of Demography,. 2011. Vol. 65. No. 3. P. 319-334.
- Article Shkolnikov V., Jdanov D., Andreev E. M., Vaupel J. Steep increase in best-practice cohort life expectancy // Population and Development Review. 2011. Vol. 37. No. 3. P. 419-434.
20102
- Article Jdanov D., Glei D., Jasilionis D. A modeling approach for estimating total mortality for Italy during the First and Second World Wars // Genus. Journal of Population Sciences. 2010. Vol. 66. No. 1. P. 17-36.
- Article Grigoriev P., Shkolnikov V., Andreev E. M., Jasilionis D., Jdanov D., Meslé F., Vallin J. Mortality in Belarus, Lithuania, and Russia: divergence in recent trends and possible explanations // European Journal of Population. 2010. Vol. 26. No. 3. P. 245-274.
20091
20081
20074
- Article Shkolnikov V., Jasilionis D., Andreev E. M., Jdanov D., Stankuniene V., Ambrozaitiene D. Linked versus unlinked estimates of mortality and length of life by education and marital status: Evidence from the first record linkage study in Lithuania // Social Science & Medicine. 2007. Vol. 64. No. 7. P. 1392-1401.
- Article Jasilionis D., Shkolnikov V., Andreev E. M., Jdanov D., Ambrozaitiene D., Stankuniene V., Meslé F., Vallin F. Sociocultural mortality differentials in Lithuania: results obtained by matching vital records with the 2001 census data // Population. 2007. Vol. 62. No. 4. P. 597-646.
- Article Андреев Е. М., Жданов Д. А. Продолжительность жизни – чем больше знаем, тем дольше живем? // Форсайт. 2007. № 3. С. 49-52.
- Article Андреев Е. М., Жданов Д. А., Школьников В. М. Смертность в России через 15 лет после распад СССР: факты и объяснения // SPERO. Социальная политика: экспертиза, рекомендации, обзоры. 2007. № 6. С. 115-142.
20061
Employment history
Since 2017 Head of the Laboratory of Demographic Data, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research (Germany)
Since 2017 Chief Research Fellow, International Laboratory Population and Health at Research University Higher School of Economics, Moscow (Russia)
2002-2017 Research Scientist (tenured since 01.06.2005), the Laboratory of Demographic Data, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research
2011-2016 Deputy Director of the Center for Demographic Research, the New Economic School, Moscow (Russia)
2000-2002 Post-Doctoral Fellow, the Data Laboratory, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research.
1999-2000 Guest Researcher, Laboratory of Advanced Statistical Methods, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research
1998-2001 Assistant Professor, Department of Applied Mathematics, Ulyanovsk State University
1996-2000 Programmer, Department of Applied Mathematics, Ulyanovsk State University
1995-1998 Assistant Professor (half time), Department of Applied Mathematics, Ulyanovsk State University
1998 Chief Programmer / Designer, the newspaper "Vestnik" (Ulyanovsk)
1992-1995 Programmer, Laboratory of Program System, Moscow State University
(Branch in Ulyanovsk, Department of Mechanics and Mathematics)
Conferences
- 2022
6th Human Mortality Database Symposium (Париж). Presentation: HMD – Short Term Mortality Fluctuation, new HMD websit
6th Human Mortality Database Symposium (Париж). Presentation: HMD subnational projects
European Population Conference 2022 (Groningen). Presentation: From Bust to Boom? Birth and Fertility Responses to the COVID-19 Pandemic
European Population Conference 2022 (Groningen). Presentation: Life Expectancy Losses and Lifespan Disparity during the Pandemic Years 2020-2021 at National and Sub-National Levels: Evidence from Selected Industrialized Countries
- 2021XXII Апрельская международная научная конференция по проблемам развития экономики и общества. (Москва). Presentation: Оценка демографических потерь, вызванных кратковременными колебаниями смертности в развитых странах в 2000-2020 гг.
- ПЕРВЫЕ ДЕМОГРАФИЧЕСКИЕ ЧТЕНИЯ ПАМЯТИ А.Г. ВИШНЕВСКОГО «Демографические горизонты России и мира на среднесрочную и долгосрочную перспективу» ПРОГРАММА КОНФЕРЕНЦИИ (Москва). Presentation: Сравнительный анализ потерь в продолжительности жизни и преждевременная смертность в 2020 году в развитых странах
- 2018European Population Conference 2018 (Брюссель). Presentation: The Human Mortality Database
- European Population Conference 2018 (Брюссель). Presentation: New methods for estimating detailed fertility schedules from abridged data
- 2017Международная конференция: Демографическое развитие России на мировом фоне: дивергенция или конвергенция? (Москва). Presentation: Качество статистики смертности в развитых странах
- 4th Human Mortality Database Symposium Similarities on the way to longer life (Берлин). Presentation: Decomposing current mortality differences into initial differences and differences in trends: the contour decomposition method
- 1st ROSTOCK CENTER RETREAT (Росток). Presentation: Decomposing current mortality differences into initial differences and differences in trends: the contour decomposition method
- "Interdisciplinary and Frontier Research on Healthy Aging" International Forum (Beijing). Presentation: The Human Mortality Database: Data, Methods, Implementation, and Applications
- XXVIII International Population Conference (Кейптаун). Presentation: Biomarkers in study of older Russians
Impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on the dynamics of life expectancy
On December 15, 2022, the International Laboratory for Population and Health and Human Capital Multidisciplinary Research Center held the seminar “Impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on the dynamics of life expectancy".
Autumn School "Introduction in Mortality Analysis for Population Health Research using R"
On September 26-30, 2022, the HSE International Laboratory for Population and Health held an autumn school "Introduction in Mortality Analysis for Population Health using R". The school brought together participants from different cities of Russia.
Unknown Mortality Rate
Why We Don’t Know the True Scale of COVID-19
Webinar "COVID-19: A Quantitative Assessment of the Pandemic and its Impact on Mortality"
The coronavirus pandemic has spread to almost all countries of the world and by early April 2020 the number of confirmed cases of the disease has exceeded a million milestone. In terms of the impact on the political and economic situation in the world and on people's minds, what is happening has no analogs over the past decades. However, can we reliably quantify this phenomenon? Oddly enough, despite the presence of a huge amount of easily accessible data on the Internet, the quantitative characteristics of the pandemic remain problematic even in economically developed countries. The presentation examined the key points regarding the quality and comparability of COVID-19 cases and deaths, as well as some additional options for objectively measuring the impact of the epidemic on mortality.
Seminar "Human longevity limits: a demographic data driven approach"
The 14th scientific seminar “Modern Demography” was hold 26 March. At the seminar, Dmitry A. Jdanov, Ph.D., head of the Laboratory of Demographic Data at the Max Planck Society for Demographic Research Institute made a presentation “Human longevity limits: a demographic data driven approach”.