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Бакалавриат 2023/2024

Теория вероятностей и математическая статистика

Направление: 38.03.01. Экономика
Когда читается: 2-й курс, 1, 2 модуль
Формат изучения: без онлайн-курса
Охват аудитории: для своего кампуса
Язык: английский
Кредиты: 6
Контактные часы: 98

Course Syllabus

Abstract

The goal of studying the discipline is learning the methods of computation of probabilities of random events and probability distributions of random variables, solving statistical estimation problems, notions of the theory of statistical hypotheses testing, that allow the student to apply this knowledge in the disciplines such as “Methods of Optimal Solution”, “Mathematical Models in Economics”, “Game Theory”, “Econometrics”. The course “Probability Theory and Mathematical Statistics” will be used in the theory and applications of multidimensional statistical analysis, mathematical economics, econometrics. The material of the course can be used for development and application of numerical methods of solving problems in various regions sciences and for creating and studying mathematical models of such problems.
Learning Objectives

Learning Objectives

  • The goal of studying the discipline is learning the methods of computation of probabilities of random events and probability distributions of random variables, solving statistical estimation problems, notions of the theory of statistical hypotheses testing, that allow the student to apply this knowledge in the disciplines such as “Methods of Optimal Solution”, “Mathematical Models in Economics”, “Game Theory”, “Econometrics”. The course “Probability Theory and Mathematical Statistics” will be used in the theory and applications of multidimensional statistical analysis, mathematical economics, econometrics. The material of the course can be used for development and application of numerical methods of solving problems in various regions sciences and for creating and studying mathematical models of such problems.
Expected Learning Outcomes

Expected Learning Outcomes

  • the student can define the relevant sample space, compute the probabilities of random
  • can solve problems about random variables and their characteristics
  • can use Chebyshev inequality and Markov inequality
  • can compute sample characteristics, construct the empirical distribution function, histogram and the frequency polygon
  • can solve problems about construction of confidence intervals for the parameters of the normal sistribution, test the hypothesis about the mean for samples from the normal distribution
  • can find the estimates of the parameters of the distribution
  • can test parametric and nonparametric hypotheses
  • can solve problems about two dimensional random variables and their charactersitics
Course Contents

Course Contents

  • 1. Events and Bernoulli trials
  • 2. One dimensional random variables
  • 3. Law of Large Numbers and Central Limit Theorem
  • 4. Two dimensional random variables.
  • 5. Basic notions of mathematical statistics
  • 6. Samples from normal distribution
  • 7. Statistical hypotheses testing
  • 8. Statistical theory of parameter estimation
Assessment Elements

Assessment Elements

  • non-blocking Test 1
  • non-blocking Test 2
  • non-blocking Test 3
  • non-blocking In class work
  • non-blocking Exam
Interim Assessment

Interim Assessment

  • 2023/2024 2nd module
    0.44 * Exam + 0.07 * In class work + 0.07 * In class work + 0.14 * Test 1 + 0.14 * Test 2 + 0.14 * Test 3
Bibliography

Bibliography

Recommended Core Bibliography

  • Кремер, Н. Ш.  Теория вероятностей и математическая статистика : учебник и практикум для вузов / Н. Ш. Кремер. — 5-е изд., перераб. и доп. — Москва : Издательство Юрайт, 2023. — 538 с. — (Высшее образование). — ISBN 978-5-534-10004-4. — Текст : электронный // Образовательная платформа Юрайт [сайт]. — URL: https://urait.ru/bcode/517540 (дата обращения: 27.08.2024).

Recommended Additional Bibliography

  • Ковалев, Е. А.  Теория вероятностей и математическая статистика для экономистов : учебник и практикум для вузов / Е. А. Ковалев, Г. А. Медведев ; под общей редакцией Г. А. Медведева. — 2-е изд., испр. и доп. — Москва : Издательство Юрайт, 2023. — 284 с. — (Высшее образование). — ISBN 978-5-534-01082-4. — Текст : электронный // Образовательная платформа Юрайт [сайт]. — URL: https://urait.ru/bcode/511337 (дата обращения: 27.08.2024).

Authors

  • BRODSKAYA NATALYA NIKOLAEVNA
  • PODKOPAEV OLEG BORISOVICH